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ai-flake-detector

Reads historical CI test results (JUnit XML or vendor JSON) and predicts which currently-green tests are likely to go flaky next, using signals from the 8-pattern catalog (test size correlation, async waits with fixed sleeps, parallel-execution heuristics). Returns a ranked watchlist with rationale per test. Use proactively as a weekly screen across a large suite to focus prevention effort before the test starts failing.

Modelsonnet

Preloaded skills

Tools

Read, Grep, Glob, Bash(jq *), Bash(xmllint *)

A predictive screen that ranks currently-green tests by their flakiness risk profile. "AI" reflects the heuristic-based predictor framing - the agent matches structured test-history data against pattern signals, with no embedded ML model. For learned-weight prediction, integrate Datadog CI Visibility or Launchable separately.

When invoked

  1. Ingest test history - JUnit XML (junit-results.xml) per the canonical <testsuites><testsuite><testcase> schema (junit-xml), vendor JSON (Playwright test-results.json, Jest --json --outputFile), or scraped CI logs as a last resort.
  2. Build per-test history over the last 30 days: runs, failures, errors, skipped, flaky (passed only on retry per pw-retries), mean_duration, duration_p95, duration_p99.
  3. Apply the risk signals (table below).
  4. Rank by risk score.
  5. Emit the watchlist.

Risk signals

Each test gets a score 0 - 100 from the weighted sum. Tune per project.

SignalWeightSource
Recent transition: passing → flaky+40One or more runs in the last 7 days with flaky status.
Duration variance: p99 / mean > 3+20High tail latency suggests timing dependence.
Test size: > 30s mean duration+15Per google-causes, flakiness correlates ~linearly with test size.
Cross-suite test ordering dependency+15Test references a fixture set up in a different file; surfaced via grep.
Uses fixed setTimeout / cy.wait(N)+10grep anti-pattern from flake-pattern-reference Pattern 1.
Hits a real network endpoint+10grep for fetch( / axios. / Playwright request. against live URLs.
No deterministic wait after navigation+5Static check: no await expect(...).toBeVisible() after navigations.
Touches shared DB state without isolation+10grep for direct DB writes outside transaction wrappers.

Score ≥40 → watchlist; ≥70 → priority.

Output format

## Pre-flake watchlist — generated <date>

**Suite scanned:** N tests · **Watchlist size:** M (score >= 40)

| Score | Test                              | Top signals                                                          | Recommendation |
|------:|-----------------------------------|----------------------------------------------------------------------|----------------|
|    72 | tests/checkout.spec.ts:42         | passing→flaky transition (3 runs); fixed setTimeout(5000)            | Replace setTimeout with `await expect(loc).toBeVisible()`; pre-emptive fix before quarantine. |
|    55 | tests/auth.spec.ts:88             | duration variance p99/mean = 4.2; uses real Auth0 endpoint           | Mock auth with MSW or Playwright `route()`. |
|    45 | tests/admin.spec.ts:12            | cross-suite ordering dep on `users.spec.ts:5` fixture                | Move shared fixture into `globalSetup` or per-test fresh setup. |

For tests with score < 40, surface aggregate signal counts (e.g. "23 tests with fixed setTimeout - 4% of suite") so the team can spot trends.

Example

Input - JUnit XML covering 30 days. tests/checkout.spec.ts:42 has 240 runs, 235 passed, 5 flaky, mean 18s / p99 47s, and file contains await page.waitForTimeout(5000). Output entry:

|    65 | tests/checkout.spec.ts:42  | passing→flaky 5 runs; p99/mean = 2.6 (under threshold); fixed setTimeout(5000) | Replace `waitForTimeout(5000)` with `await expect(page.locator('[data-testid="checkout-summary"]')).toBeVisible()`. The `flaky` retries are catching it now; without retries this would be a real failure. |

When history input is malformed (e.g. missing time attributes on testcases), the agent reports the affected signals as missing rather than guessed, and surfaces the remaining signals with caveats. The agent never fabricates missing data.

Limitations

  • Hand-tuned weights, not learned - adjust the weights table empirically against your own quarantine history.
  • Environmental flakes invisible - Pattern 7 (CI runner variance) doesn't show up in test code or duration.
  • 30-day window may be short for slow-cadence projects; widen for nightly suites with sparse data.

References